The uncomfortable truth about AI estimates

"ChatGPT is free. Why pay for estimates?"

Great question. Here's the uncomfortable answer: free AI estimates are worth exactly what you pay for them. When a client asks "how much?", you need numbers you can defend, not AI hallucinations.

ChatGPT estimate "15k - 150k EUR" Thanks, very helpful.
VS
StacksFinder estimate 47 200 - 58 400 EUR Mid-level, 340-420h, France rates
01

The Problem with AI Estimates

LLMs are incredible at many things. Consistent numerical estimates is not one of them. Here's what happens when you ask ChatGPT to estimate a project:

You asked: "Estimate a SaaS MVP"
AI said: "Around 15 000 to 50 000 EUR"
Range so wide it's useless
You asked: "How long for an e-commerce site?"
AI said: "2-6 months with a team"
Which team? What features?
You asked: Same prompt, 5 minutes later
AI said: "30 000 to 80 000 EUR"
Completely different answer
The core issue: LLMs don't "know" prices. They predict plausible-sounding text based on training data. A 50k EUR estimate and a 500k EUR estimate are equally "correct" to the model. It's just generating words.
02

ChatGPT vs StacksFinder

Aspect ChatGPT / Claude StacksFinder
Pricing accuracyHallucinates numbers based on training dataDeterministic lookup tables, updated quarterly
ConsistencyDifferent answer every time you askSame specs = identical estimate (AI classifies, tables calculate)
Transparency"Trust me bro" - black box reasoningFull breakdown: hours, complexity, risks, confidence score
Professional outputCopy-paste chat into a docExport-ready PDF quotes with branding
Market contextOutdated training data (months old)Live competitor & pricing research (Pro)
Risk analysisGeneric warnings if anySeverity levels, mitigations, impact on estimate
Cost$20/month for GPT-4Free tier available, Pro from $20
03

Our Approach: Best of Both Worlds

We don't throw away AI. We use it where it excels, and use deterministic systems where consistency matters. Our pipeline separates classification (AI) from calculation (lookup tables). This minimizes randomness while leveraging AI for intelligent analysis.

Smart

Pre-Analysis

If your specs are vague, we ask clarifying questions:

  • Project scale (MVP, startup, enterprise)
  • Target users and expected load
  • Team experience level
  • Timeline constraints
Better input = higher confidence score
AI-Powered

Classification

Claude analyzes and classifies (not calculates):

  • Feature types (auth, CRUD, payment, etc.)
  • Complexity level per feature
  • Technical risks and unknowns
  • Industry and project type
AI excels at classification, not math
Deterministic

Hours & Pricing

Versioned anchor tables calculate everything:

  • Hours per feature type (auth-oauth = 20-40h)
  • Complexity multipliers (1.3x for complex)
  • Context adjustments (scale, industry)
  • Final pricing by region & seniority
Same classification = identical numbers. Always.

About variance: Since the pipeline uses AI for classification, there's a small margin of error in feature categorization. However, once classified, all calculations are 100% deterministic. This hybrid approach minimizes randomness while leveraging AI's contextual understanding.

Full Transparency

Every estimate shows exactly how we calculated it:

Hours breakdown by feature
Complexity factors applied
Risk analysis with mitigations
Regional rate sources
04

What You Get

Every estimate includes comprehensive analysis across 6 dimensions:

Scope Analysis

Feature breakdown with hours per feature, 5 complexity levels (trivial to very-complex), and dependency mapping.

Risk Analysis

4 severity levels (low to critical), mitigation suggestions, and quantified impact on estimate.

Multi-Region Pricing

France (35h/week), US, UK, Remote rates. 4 seniority profiles: junior, mid, senior, expert.

Recommended Range

AI suggests optimal polish level (MVP to Premium) with reasoning for best value positioning.

Confidence Score

0-100 score with penalty factors. Structured questions to improve clarity when specs are vague.

Privacy First

Automatic redaction of emails, API keys, credentials before any LLM processing.

05

Market Analysis

Pro

Real-time market research powered by Perplexity. Get live data on competitors, trends, and pricing strategies.

Competitor Research Name, URL, pricing, positioning, relevance (direct/indirect/adjacent)
Market Size Estimated market size and growth potential
Trend Analysis Up to 5 current market trends affecting your project
Gap Identification Opportunities and underserved niches
Pricing Suggestions Market-based pricing strategy recommendations
Market data is non-deterministic and time-sensitive. All results include sources and timestamps for verification.
06

Export & Integration

PDF Quotes

Professional PDF export with your branding, payment terms, and client details.

Pro

History Panel

All your estimates saved and searchable. Compare versions and track changes.

All tiers

Generate Blueprint

Connect your estimate to the Builder for matching tech stack recommendations.

Coming Soon

Ready for estimates you can actually trust?

Stop guessing. Stop hallucinating. Get project estimates backed by data, not vibes.

1 free estimate/week Full scope analysis No credit card Pro from $20/month
07

Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions